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养老金5%的投资回报率高还是低?

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月19日 18:35:41
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(事)(实)(也)(是)(,养)(老)(金)(从)(存)(放)(银)(行)(到)(购)(买)(金)(边)(债)(券)(再)(到)(由)(社)(保)(基)(金)(理)(事)(会)(投)(资)(一)(级)(市)(场)(,养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(是)(在)(不)(断)(进)(步)(、不)(断)(开)(放)(的)(,养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(的)(回)(报)(率)(也)(是)(在)(不)(断)(提)(升)(的)(。而)(允)(许)(养)(老)(金)(进)(入)(二)(级)(市)(场)(,并)(由)(专)(业)(的)(投)(资)(机)(构)(负)(责)(,也)(是)(经)(过)(多)(年)(的)(激)(烈)(争)(论)(和)(广)(泛)(讨)(论)(以)(后)(,最)(终)(形)(成)(共)(识)(的)(。即)(便)(如)(此)(,国)(务)(院)(颁)(发)(的)(《基)(本)(养)(老)(保)(险)(基)(金)(投)(资)(管)(理)(办)(法)(》也)(明)(确)(规)(定)(,投)(资)(股)(票)(、股)(票)(基)(金)(、混)(合)(基)(金)(、股)(票)(型)(养)(老)(金)(产)(品)(的)(比)(例)(,合)(计)(不)(得)(高)(于)(养)(老)(基)(金)(资)(产)(净)(值)(的)(30%。可)(见)(,对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(的)(慎)(重)(,对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(风)(险)(把)(控)(的)(严)(格)(。
也)(许)(有)(人)(会)(问)(,对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(设)(定)(如)(此)(严)(格)(的)(管)(控)(要)(求)(,是)(不)(是)(过)(于)(苛)(刻)(了)(。实)(事)(求)(是)(地)(讲)(,并)(不)(苛)(刻)(。至)(少)(,在)(目)(前)(不)(算)(苛)(刻)(。要)(知)(道)(,历)(史)(上)(一)(些)(地)(方)(也)(曾)(经)(利)(用)(养)(老)(金)(进)(行)(过)(投)(资)(,包)(括)(投)(资)(企)(业)(、投)(资)(基)(建)(项)(目)(等)(,结)(果)(,大)(多)(出)(现)(了)(风)(险)(,有)(的)(甚)(至)(血)(本)(无)(归)(。好)(在)(过)(去)(相)(当)(一)(段)(时)(间)(企)(业)(运)(行)(状)(况)(不)(错)(,且)(大)(多)(是)(国)(有)(企)(业)(,养)(老)(金)(发)(放)(的)(压)(力)(不)(是)(很)(大)(。如)(果)(放)(在)(现)(在)(,不)(少)(地)(方)(可)(能)(会)(出)(现)(严)(重)(的)(收)(支)(缺)(口)(。在)(这)(样)(的)(情)(况)(下)(,对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(小)(心)(一)(点)(、慎)(重)(一)(点)(,是)(没)(有)(错)(的)(,也)(是)(可)(以)(接)(受)(的)(。
随)(着)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(经)(验)(的)(不)(断)(积)(累)(,尤)(其)(是)(资)(本)(市)(场)(的)(规)(范)(度)(越)(业)(越)(高)(,各)(种)(违)(规)(现)(象)(越)(来)(越)(少)(,价)(值)(投)(资)(理)(念)(不)(断)(确)(立)(,养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(的)(风)(险)(也)(会)(越)(来)(越)(小)(。一)(旦)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(的)(体)(系)(形)(成)(了)(,认)(识)(更)(加)(统)(一)(了)(,提)(高)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(比)(例)(的)(空)(间)(是)(存)(在)(的)(,也)(是)(可)(能)(的)(。而)(且)(,投)(资)(的)(回)(报)(率)(也)(会)(逐)(步)(提)(高)(。
也)(正)(因)(为)(如)(此)(,对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(5%的)(回)(报)(率)(,应)(当)(理)(性)(看)(待)(,不)(要)(只)(看)(高)(低)(,还)(要)(看)(投)(资)(背)(景)(、投)(资)(条)(件)(,既)(要)(横)(向)(看)(,也)(要)(纵)(向)(看)(,既)(要)(用)(静)(态)(的)(眼)(光)(看)(,也)(要)(用)(动)(态)(的)(眼)(光)(看)(,要)(看)(趋)(势)(、看)(发)(展)(。特)(别)(是)(第)(一)(年)(投)(资)(就)(能)(够)(获)(得)(5%以)(上)(的)(回)(报)(率)(,还)(是)(能)(够)(满)(意)(的)(,是)(符)(合)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(的)(基)(本)(规)(律)(的)(。
需)(要)(提)(醒)(管)(理)(层)(的)(是)(,虽)(然)(去)(年)(是)(首)(次)(由)(专)(业)(投)(资)(机)(构)(负)(责)(养)(老)(金)(的)(投)(资)(运)(营)(,尚)(不)(足)(以)(全)(面)(评)(价)(专)(业)(机)(构)(的)(投)(资)(水)(平)(。但)(是)(,对)(投)(资)(回)(报)(率)(明)(显)(偏)(低)(的)(投)(资)(机)(构)(,还)(是)(要)(相)(对)(慎)(重)(一)(点)(。作)(为)(专)(业)(投)(资)(机)(构)(,在)(二)(级)(市)(场)(投)(资)(方)(面)(,应)(当)(是)(有)(一)(定)(经)(验)(的)(,是)(不)(应)(当)(出)(现)(太)(大)(差)(距)(的)(。差)(距)(偏)(大)(,说)(明)(投)(资)(机)(构)(的)(投)(资)(能)(力)(确)(实)(存)(在)(问)(题)(。那)(么)(,就)(应)(当)(减)(少)(对)(这)(些)(机)(构)(的)(投)(资)(额)(度)(,并)(依)(据)(今)(后)(的)(投)(资)(回)(报)(情)(况)(确)(定)(是)(否)(可)(以)(增)(加)(投)(资)(额)(度)(。不)(然)(,就)(难)(以)(形)(成)(良)(好)(的)(竞)(争)(态)(势)(。
从)(总)(体)(上)(讲)(,养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(能)(够)(从)(一)(级)(市)(场)(转)(向)(二)(级)(市)(场)(,由)(政)(府)(投)(资)(机)(构)(转)(向)(专)(业)(投)(资)(机)(构)(,是)(一)(种)(进)(步)(。而)(对)(于)(投)(资)(回)(报)(率)(的)(关)(注)(,既)(可)(以)(看)(作)(是)(对)(养)(老)(金)(收)(支)(矛)(盾)(的)(担)(忧)(,也)(可)(以)(看)(作)(是)(对)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(机)(构)(的)(期)(望)(。所)(以)(,有)(关)(方)(面)(和)(养)(老)(金)(投)(资)(机)(构)(应)(当)(正)(确)(看)(待)(、理)(性)(分)(析)(,从)(而)(形)(成)(有)(效)(的)(良)(性)(互)(动)(。
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